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Experts Debate the Issues: The Anfal Trial April 16th, 2006
Anfal Issue #1: The Significance of the Anfal Campaign Indictment(Formerly Issue #37) An Ambitious but Risky Move By Michael P. Scharf As the Dujail trial was nearing an end, on April 4, 2006, the Iraqi High Tribunal announced the referral of its second case to the Trial Chamber. The case concerns the Anfal campaign, a series of eight military operations launched against the Northern Kurds in 1988, which resulted in an estimated 100,000 deaths. (See also Issue #6). The IHT had been criticized for beginning with the Dujail Case, which involved 150 casualties, rather than the far more weighty Anfal case, whose casualty figures were 100 times greater. Since many experts were opining that Saddam would be promptly executed following the verdict in the Dujail trial, comparisons were made to the 1931 trial of Chicago mob boss Al “Scarface” Capone, who was prosecuted for tax evasion rather than for the thousands of murders he orchestrated in a series of gang wars in the 1920s. While Saddam might pay the ultimate price for Dujail, his victims would be robbed of seeing him face justice for his much greater atrocities. The announcement of the Anfal referral changed all that. Since the Anfal case is scheduled to begin immediately after the close of the Dujail trial (while the Dujail verdict is being appealed to the Appeals chamber of the IHT), this means that whatever the Dujail verdict, Saddam Hussein will be available to face his accusers in the Anfal trial. The Anfal referral is important in a second respect. The IHT announced that Saddam and his co-defendants, including Ali Hassan Al-Majid (“Chemical Ali”), would be charged with the crime of genocide. Genocide has been called “the crime of crimes.” It is the worst crime known to humankind, and it is the hardest crime to prove. Charging Saddam with genocide suggests that his atrocities rank with those committed by Adolf Hitler, Pol Pot, Idi Amin, and Slobodan Milosevic. The problem, however, is that it will be extremely difficult to prove the genocide charge in relation to the Anfal campaign, and thus there is a great risk that Saddam will be acquitted, leaving the world to wonder whether he was no more than a petty thug as opposed to a genocidal dictator, after all. The 1948 Genocide Convention defines genocide as mass killing and other similar actions “committed with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial or religious group, as such.” It is significant that the drafters of the Genocide Convention deliberately excluded acts directed against “political groups,” or “opponents of the regime” from the definition of Genocide. This exclusion was due to the fact that the Convention was drafted during the height of the cold war, during which the Soviet Union and other totalitarian governments feared that they would face interference in their internal affairs if genocide was defined to include such acts. Thus, history has not labeled the murder of four million Russians in Stalin’s purges (1937-1953) or of five million Chinese in Mao’s Cultural Revolution (1966-1976) as acts of genocide. With their distinct language and culture, the Iraqi Kurds obviously constitute an ethnic group under the Genocide Convention. Moreover, the large number of victims in a distinct geographic area is more than sufficient for a finding of genocide. The challenge for the Tribunal will be finding the necessary “specific intent” to destroy the Kurds “as such” -- in other words for no predominant reason other than because they are Kurds. As described below, there are two alternative theories, having nothing to do with ethnocentrism, xenophobia, or hatred of Kurds, for why Saddam ordered the Anfal operations. First, in 1986, the two main Kurdish parties, the KDP and PUK, united with the help of Iran (which was then at war with Iraq), to attempt to topple Saddam’s government. Thus, the Anfal campaign may have been aimed at punishing the Kurds for their acts of treason and at suppressing the continuing threat of an Iranian-backed insurgency. It is noteworthy that Kurds who cooperated with Iraqi officials, dissociated themselves from Kurdish nationalists, and accepted deportation to southern Iraq, were not otherwise persecuted. Second, parts of Kurdistan in northern Iraq contained vast quantities of oil that Saddam’s government desired. The Kurdish claims to these oil fields in the 1980s would have been perceived as a significant threat that required a response. It is significant in this regard that the Anfal campaign did not target all Kurdish populated towns throughout Iraq, just those in oil-rich Kurdistan in northern Iraq, and that the people killed in the Anfal campaign included non-Kurds, as well as Kurds, who refused to vacate the targeted towns. These motivations would not absolve Saddam for liability for crimes against humanity and war crimes (for using chemical weapons and indiscriminately killing mass numbers of Kurdish civilians). But if the Tribunal concludes that the Anfal operations predominantly reflected Saddam’s intent to retaliate against the Kurds for treason, to suppress insurgency, or to gain access to oil, Saddam must be acquitted of the genocide charge. Thus, the genocide charge represents an ambitious but risky move for the Tribunal. Response by Mark A. Drumbl The "riskiness" of the Anfal genocide charge can be seen from a different light, as well. Michael Scharf is right to point out that there may be a risk that an acquittal on genocide charges might diminish the expressive value of the trial by leaving a historical footprint of Saddam as "just" a thug and not a genocidal mastermind. However, there also is a risk that a conviction on the charge of genocide might further dilute the heinousness of the purported "crime of all crimes." To be sure, this discussion is entirely speculative, as I do not have a sense of the precise nature of the evidence that the Prosecutor will adduce. It may well be that there is evidence that solidly meets the dolus specialis of genocide in the case of the Anfal campaign against the Kurds. However, it seems to me that the prosecution of Saddam on genocide forms part of a trend in international criminal law toward what appears to be a more flexible and capacious understanding of genocide. One example of this trend is from the International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia, whose 2004 Appeals Chamber decision in the Krstic Case confirmed that the slaughter of 7,000 Bosnian Muslim men and boys in Srebrenica was related to the intended destruction of the Srebrenica Bosnian Muslims as a target group which, in turn, was connected to the intended destruction of the protected group, namely Bosnian Muslims. Another example might be the draft instruments of the Extraordinary Chambers for Cambodia which, to the best of my knowledge, are minded to have jurisdiction to prosecute genocide. As the threshold for genocide may lower, the crime of genocide may become more blurred with certain crimes against humanity such as persecution and extermination. This may permit capture of a broader number of perpetrators as "genocidaires" but, as well, may obscure the singularly heinous nature of genocide as the most reprehensible of the major international crimes. I appreciate that this may be a somewhat technical discussion to the Kurdish population that was so victimized by Saddam, but individual prosecutions of individual defendants must be placed in the context of their overall effects on the structures of international criminal law. Posted @ 7:59 AM | Experts Debate the Issues: The Anfal Trial Trackbacks
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